NY prediction markets tracker

Every active prediction market touching New York City or New York State — elections, government, policy, the economy, transit, crime and public health — pulled from Polymarket, Kalshi and Manifold every six hours and consolidated here. Markets are matched by place plus civic context, so new races and candidates surface automatically. Sports, entertainment and daily weather are excluded.
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Sorted by default on 24h volume — the markets with the most trading in the last day, so the busiest races sit on top. Yes price is the implied probability the market is currently assigning. 24h Δ compares to the snapshot taken roughly 24 hours ago; "—" means no prior snapshot exists yet for that contract. 24h vol is money traded in the last day; Total vol is lifetime — both in USD for Polymarket and Kalshi, in mana for Manifold (play-money — note the M). Click any column header to re-sort. Methodology and keyword list: METHODOLOGY.md. Data refreshed every 6 hours via GitHub Actions. Source: markets.json.