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Methodology & sources

This chart races New York City's foreign-born population by country of birth from 1900 to 2023, and fades each wave as it recedes. This page sets out where the data comes from, how the fade is defined and what it can and cannot show.

What the chart shows

Each bar is the number of foreign-born New Yorkers born in a given country at each decennial census — the immigrant, or first, generation. It does not include their US-born children or grandchildren. The chart shows the largest groups at any moment (the top 18), so a country appears when it grows large enough and drops off when it is overtaken. In the earliest decades only nine to twelve countries were separately tabulated at this size, so fewer bars appear until the wider post-1965 mix fills the field.

What the fade means. The U.S. census can identify immigrants and (historically) their children by nation, but it cannot trace a group by country of birth past the second generation — by the third generation, descendants are recorded as American-born, with no foreign birthplace. So a wave that stops being replenished by new arrivals does two things at once: it shrinks (its immigrants age and die) and it disappears from the birthplace count (its grandchildren are no longer counted under that nation). We encode this by fading a bar once it is past its peak decade, in proportion to how far it has fallen from that peak. The fade is therefore a visual proxy for generational succession, not a measured count of third- or fourth-generation people — that figure does not exist in the historical data. A faded Italian or Irish bar does not mean those New Yorkers vanished; it means they became second-, third- and fourth-generation Americans whom the census no longer counts as Italy- or Ireland-born.

Sources

Every filled figure is sourced to the volumes above. Where a decade's number for a country could not be reliably sourced, that cell is left blank rather than estimated, and the bar interpolates across the gap. The 2020 column uses the ACS 2022 5-year estimate (centered on 2020); the 2023 column uses the 2023 ACS as published in The Newest New Yorkers 2026. The final step spans three years (2020–2023) rather than a full decade, and animates over the same interval on the clock.

Definitions and boundary changes

What is interpolated

A census is taken once a decade. Between censuses, each country's value is linearly interpolated so the bars move continuously. The numbers are exact only at each data year (when the year reads 1900, 1910, … 2020, and the final 2023). A wave that the census had not yet recorded grows in from zero; a bar with no further data ebbs toward zero.

Limitations

The full data

Foreign-born New Yorkers by country of birth, by census year, as used by the chart. (This table is finalized once all primary-source cells are confirmed.)

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